May 17, 2024 • 1hr 53min
My First Million
In this episode, Shaan Puri interviews Mohnish Pabrai, an investor sometimes referred to as the "Indian Warren Buffett" for his remarkable track record of turning $1 million into over $1 billion through stock investing. Pabrai shares insights into how his background as an entrepreneur shaped his approach to investing, the key lessons he learned from Buffett and Munger, and the principles that have guided his success.
Pabrai explains that the human brain develops specialized areas for business and investing during a critical window from ages 11-20. Entrepreneurs who start businesses young develop skills in identifying opportunities, managing risk, and capital allocation that translate well to investing.
Pabrai cites Buffett's early entrepreneurial ventures like his pinball machine and newspaper delivery businesses as formative experiences that shaped his later investment philosophy. The ability to think like a capital allocator is a key advantage entrepreneurs have over those who only work in corporate environments.
Pabrai describes how the young Buffett was able to pay for his college education by age 17 through various entrepreneurial ventures, including buying and reselling pinball machines and a Rolls Royce. This early experience with compounding returns and minimizing risk laid the groundwork for Buffett's later success.
Pabrai explains how Buffett sought out Ben Graham, the father of value investing, to learn directly from him after college. This transformational experience taught Buffett the principles of finding undervalued businesses and patiently waiting for the "fat pitch" - the rare, high-quality opportunity worth swinging at.
Pabrai discusses how Buffett's experience with the See's Candies business taught him the power of brands and the ability to raise prices significantly above inflation with little resistance from customers. This shifted Buffett's perspective from a pure "deep value" investor to one who understood the value of strong brands.
Pabrai shares how his own upbringing as the son of an entrepreneur shaped his mindset. As a teenager, he was involved in running his family's businesses, learning firsthand the challenges of managing cash flow and payroll. This early exposure to the realities of entrepreneurship gave him an advantage when transitioning to investing.
Pabrai emphasizes that successful entrepreneurs are not reckless risk-takers, but rather skilled at minimizing downside and finding low-risk, high-return opportunities. He describes how he started his own IT services business by leveraging his 401(k) and credit cards, maintaining his day job to ensure a steady income stream.
Pabrai uses Richard Branson's example of starting Virgin Atlantic with no money as an illustration of an entrepreneur's ability to be creative and minimize risk, rather than simply throwing capital at a problem.
Pabrai shares the fascinating story of how a group of Ugandan refugees, the Patels, came to own 70% of the motels in America by leveraging their entrepreneurial mindset and ability to operate as low-cost producers.
Pabrai describes how he turned his initial $1 million into $13 million over 5 years through value investing, highlighting the power of compounding when you can achieve high annual returns. He then grew his Pabrai Funds to over $600 million in assets in less than a decade.
Pabrai shares his unique approach to fundraising, leveraging Buffett's principle that if you outperform the market, investors will "swim to you in shark-infested waters." He also discusses the regulatory constraints around soliciting investors as a fund manager.
Pabrai explains how he recognized the dot-com bubble forming in the late 1990s and pivoted his investment strategy to classic value investing principles, buying undervalued businesses while the broader market was caught up in tech euphoria.
Pabrai recounts the story of how he won the charity auction to have lunch with Warren Buffett for $650,000, a fraction of the $2 million he was willing to pay. This led to a lasting friendship with both Buffett and Charlie Munger.
Pabrai discusses a key lesson he learned from Munger about being a "harsh grader" of people - ruthlessly separating the exceptional from the mediocre and avoiding the temptation of loyalty to underperforming relationships.
Pabrai explains Munger's framework for categorizing people as givers, takers, and matchers, emphasizing the importance of surrounding yourself with generous, high-quality individuals who will help you succeed.
Pabrai describes his investment philosophy of seeking asymmetric risk/reward opportunities where the downside is limited but the upside is substantial, drawing parallels to his entrepreneurial approach of minimizing risk.
Pabrai discusses his preference for public markets over private businesses, arguing that the irrationality and mispricing in public equities creates more opportunities for patient, value-oriented investors to exploit.
Pabrai identifies patience as the single most important trait for successful investing, drawing an analogy to Seinfeld's character who could sit silently staring at an airplane seat for hours on end.
Pabrai explains the powerful "Rule of 72," a simple mathematical principle that allows you to quickly calculate how long it takes for an investment to double based on the annual rate of return.
Pabrai describes Buffett's "circle the wagons" approach of patiently holding on to his best investment ideas for decades, rather than constantly trading, as the key to Berkshire Hathaway's remarkable compounding.
Pabrai emphasizes the importance of being "fearful when the world is greedy and greedy when the world is fearful," seeking out hated and unloved sectors and businesses that the market has irrationally discounted.
Pabrai expresses skepticism about Bitcoin, stating that it falls outside his "circle of competence" and that he would be hesitant to invest in it due to the lack of intrinsic value.
Pabrai shares the story of how investor Nick Sleep identified the long-term potential of Amazon by carefully studying Bezos' shareholder letters, even as the market dismissed the company as overvalued.
Pabrai offers his assessments of the capital allocation skills of various high-profile business leaders, including Elon Musk, Mark Zuckerberg, and the Walton family.
This conversation with Mohnish Pabrai provides a fascinating window into the mindset and principles of a highly successful value investor. Pabrai's background as an entrepreneur has clearly shaped his approach, emphasizing risk minimization, patience, and the ability to think independently and contrarily.
Key takeaways include the advantages entrepreneurs have in developing specialized investing skills, the importance of compounding returns over the long-term, and the value of surrounding yourself with high-quality, generous individuals. Pabrai's insights into the investment philosophies of Buffett and Munger, as well as his own contrarian approach to finding undervalued opportunities, offer valuable lessons for any aspiring investor.
Overall, this episode provides a masterclass in value investing principles and the mindset required to achieve exceptional long-term returns, regardless of one's starting point. Pabrai's story is a testament to the power of entrepreneurial thinking, discipline, and a relentless focus on minimizing risk while maximizing upside potential.